Posted: July 25, 2012 Filed under: Uncategorized
America’s bounty: Gas works
The Economist is one of our favorite weekly reads. It is packed full of news and information and well-written. That it has a European take on things is an advantage in our eyes becuase it brings a different viewpoint. This week it looks at the changing prospects for the U.S. as the oil and gas boom continues to out pace expectations and policy. It makes a good companion reading with our post yesterday linking to Walter Russell Mead’s disquisition on America’s future.
“Now shale contributes a third of America’s gas supplies. By 2035 the country’s share of total supplies (which may by then have risen to 820 billion cubic metres a year) could be nearly half. The rise has been helped along by a variety of factors, such as the liberalisation of access to existing pipelines by third parties that started in the 1970s, a deep and liquid gas market that allowed the risks of drilling to be hedged, ready access to capital, America’s home-grown oil industry and the entrepreneurial zip that provided the men and equipment. But the biggest difference was down to the efforts of one man: George Mitchell, the boss of an oil-service company, who saw the potential for improving a known technology, fracking, to get at the gas. Big oil and gas companies were interested in shale gas but could not make the breakthrough in fracking to get the gas to flow. Mr Mitchell spent ten years and $6m to crack the problem (surely the best-spent development money in the history of gas). Everyone, he said, told him he was just wasting his time and money.
“The technology is in use in the Marcellus, Haynesville, Barnett, Utica and other shale beds (see map), to startling effect. It is also being used for shale oil, which can be extracted from some shale beds in the same way as gas. Some wells also render valuable natural-gas liquids (NGLs) such as butane and propane along with the gas. Oily parts of the Eagle Ford are giving up the black stuff in big quantities. The Bakken shale in North Dakota, a state with little else to boast about, now contributes around half a million barrels a day (b/d) of oil. Some reckon that in a few years the oily shale beds might produce as much as 3m b/d, around a third of America’s current imports.
“The cost of getting at the gas has come tumbling down as techniques have become more efficient. Drilling multiple wells from a single pad, up to six at a time, has made operations cheaper. Three-dimensional seismic imaging has made it easier to find sweet spots where gas might flow in large quantities. Horizontal drilling sections have got longer. Break-even costs have plummeted,” the Economist says.
It concludes: “The fossil-fuel industry is only a small slice of America’s economy, but the relative drop in gas prices is so dramatic that it could boost a manufacturing renaissance. That might add 0.5% a year to GDP over the next five years, says UBS, a Swiss bank. Meanwhile low gas prices are already fattening American wallets. According to IHS Global Insight, a research outfit, they are saving the average American household $926 a year.
“Not everyone will win. Some coalminers, for instance, will have to find new work. But Mr Obama says that fracking might support 600,000 jobs by the end of this decade. Not bad for a business that barely existed ten years ago.”
Via Mark Green at the EnergyTomorrow Blog, who says: “The point here, as noted by The Economist, is that the United States is on the cutting edge of shale energy development through hydraulic fracturing. Generally, there’s support for this kind of energy development from the public, government (see here and here) and our way of life – private property, entrepreneurship and a history of pioneering energy development. Still, there are some who want to stop the revolution in its tracks. Instead of safe and responsible natural gas development, they want to halt development altogether – while offering little in the way of realistic alternatives to abundant, reliable natural gas.”
Posted: July 25, 2012 Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: China, Solar, tariff war
One major drag is that its cost of producing polysilicon is well below the spot price
Simon Montlake at Forbes says China’s headlong rush into solar-energy equipment for export to the West has stirred global trade tensions.
“In May the U.S. Commerce Department said it would subject Chinese exporters to anti-dumping tariffs of up to 250% on solar panels. Last week, in an apparent retort, China said it was investigating U.S. and South Korean suppliers of polysilicon, a key ingredient in solar cells. China had sharply criticised the U.S. ruling as a protectionist measure. While the full effect of the U.S. tariffs won’t be felt until 2013, China’s solar industry is already in trouble.
“Oversupply of solar equipment and polysilicon in China means that companies are desperate for sales. Europe’s financial woes are already throttling government subsidies for installation of solar panels. China exports nearly $2 billion of solar panels annually to the U.S., and while not all companies will be hit by huge tariffs, it’s hard to see much upside. U.S.-listed Chinese solar firms have had a terrible year. Shares in Suntech Power (STP) are down 79%. JA Solar Holdings (JASO) is trading below 1$, down 30%.
“Bad timing, then, for Hi-Min Solar Power, a solar water-heater company that grew on the back of close political ties in its home province of Shandong. After a third attempt to list shares in Shanghai was rejected, founder Huang Ming lashed out at the news media for linking him to a disgraced politician in the province. He is particularly incensed at reports that former vice-governor Huang Sheng is a relative who helped him obtain cheap land in Dezhou for his solar factories and real-estate projects.
“Not so, claims Hi-Min’s chairman, though he admits that Huang Sheng was his friend and ‘benefactor.’ The disgraced Huang was expelled last month from the ruling party for accepting bribes and being “morally corrupt”. The suspicion is that Hi-Min’s application for an IPO was denied because of its association with him. During a stormy press conference on July 20, Chairman Huang Ming claimed that the reason was that Hi-Min had non-performing assets.
The company has tried for years to go public, all to no avail. Chinese media reports that the corruption probe that brought down the vice-governor involved land transactions to clean energy companies in Dezhou. No wonder Huang Ming is feeling the heat.
“In southern Jiangxi province, solar power is also proving a headache for local authorities. Indebted LDK Solar, the world’s second-largest solar wafer manufacturer, has seen its ADRs drop 15% after losing $185m in the first quarter. One major drag is that its cost of producing polysilicon is well below the spot price.”
There’s more at the link.
Posted: July 25, 2012 Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: Interior Dept., Policy, Solar, West
The agency has already approved 17 large-scale solar energy projects on public lands that are expected to produce nearly 6,000 megawatts of electricity
John M. Broder of the New York Times reports: “After more than two years of study and public comment, the Department of Interior on Tuesday identified 17 sites on 285,000 acres of public lands across six Southwestern states as prime spots for development of solar energy. Agency officials said the government would fast-track applications for large-scale solar energy installations at those sites in the hope of speeding construction of thousands of megawatts of renewable, non-polluting electricity generation.
“The agency identified an additional 19 million acres of public lands in California, Nevada, Utah, Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico as potential venues for solar energy projects that could win rapid federal approval.
“But officials said they were fencing off more than 78 million acres of public land from solar development because the areas have less solar energy potential, do not have immediate access to transmission lines or pose a threat to important archaeological or cultural sites, endangered species, scarce water resources or other environmental values if developed,” the story said.
“’This is a key milestone in building a sustainable foundation for utility-scale solar energy development and conservation on public lands over the next two decades,’ the interior secretary, Ken Salazar, said. [...]
“On the solar energy front, the Interior Department on Tuesday issued a document known as a final programmatic environmental impact statement covering more than 3,000 pages that spells out the considerations in narrowing the sites for solar development and describes the process for permitting new projects.”
Posted: July 25, 2012 Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: Chevron, Iraq, Kurdistan, Oil
Yet, Chevron has no material stake in the south to lose at the moment
Iraq hit out at Chevron Corp. over its just-signed oil contract with Kurdistan, barring it from any oil agreements with the central government in a move meant to deter other companies from dealing directly with the semi-autonomous northern region, according to a story at YahooNews.
“Baghdad has long held that contracts signed by the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) are illegal, and last year Exxon Mobil Corp aroused its anger by striking a deal with the region while also running a project at a supergiant oilfield in the south.
“Baghdad retaliated by banning Exxon from an exploration tender in May,” the story said.
“Chevron followed its larger rival into Kurdistan last week, and Baghdad’s action on Tuesday will be closely watched by other oil majors, such as France’s Total, which is widely expected to be the next to make a Kurdish oil play.
“‘In line with Oil Ministry policy based on the constitution, the Oil Ministry announces the disqualification of Chevron company and bars it from signing any deals with the federal Oil Ministry and its companies,’ the Oil Ministry said in a statement.
“Last week, Chevron said it would purchase 80 percent of two blocks in Iraq’s Kurdistan, an area where oil rights are a subject of fierce dispute.”
Here’s our archived story from July 19.
Posted: July 25, 2012 Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: energy policy, Japan, Nuclear
The local poll result could influence a government decision on its medium-term energy mix program
Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda’s post-Fukushima nuclear energy policy will be on trial in a local governor’s election on Sunday, where an upset victory by arenewable energy candidate would deal Noda’s wobbly administration a new blow, Linda Sieg of Reuters says.
“Energy policy has become a big headache for Noda, who is battling to hold his Democratic Party (DPJ) together ahead of a possible parliamentary election this year.
“The prime minister has already suffered a series of defections over his approval of reactor restarts despite safety concerns after the 2011 Fukushima disaster, as well as his plans to double the sales tax.
“The DPJ’s fracturing coincides with mounting voter opposition to nuclear power, with some 100,000 people rallying against the reactor restarts in Tokyo on July 16.
“Now Tetsunari Iida, a well-known proponent of renewable energy as an alternative to nuclear, is running for governor of the western conservative stronghold of Yamaguchi prefecture. An Iida victory or close finish would add to Noda’s woes.”
Posted: July 24, 2012 Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: Solar, Texas
At least five solar plants are expected to be built across Texas
According to the Associated Press, a solar energy deal has been announced for the San Antonio area in a project that backers say should create about 800 jobs.
“Leaders of CPS Energy and OCI Solar Power LLC signed the manufacturing-to-generation agreement Monday. The 25-year contract is for solar power purchase and other economic development.
“Officials say several manufacturing facilities will be established to create solar panel components, including a San Antonio unit to be built by Nexolon America LLC.”
Posted: July 24, 2012 Filed under: Uncategorized | Tags: Africa, wind turbines
The machine was originally designed by Vestas, the world’s biggest wind-turbine maker
RRB Energy Ltd., Vestas Wind Systems A/S (VWS)’s former joint-venture partner in India, expects as much as 25 percent of sales next year to come from exports of smaller turbines toemerging markets led by Africa, according to Natalie Obiko Pearson of Bloomberg.
“The New Delhi-registered manufacturer, one of the earliest to enter India’s wind power market in 1987, says it’s bucking an industry trend toward larger turbines and has restarted production of a 225-kilowatt machine discontinued in 2005.
“’There’s a lot of potential in emerging markets where so far there’s been no development of wind power like Africa,’ Deputy Managing Director Sarvesh Kumar said in a phone interview yesterday. They can’t simply start with megawatt-class machines,’” the article said.
“Wind-turbine makers are seeking to diversify as they struggle with overcapacity and declining demand in traditional markets. Growth is set to slow in China, the world’s biggest wind market, for the first time this year, while governments in the U.S. and Europe are rolling back clean-energy subsidies.
“Closely-held RRB, which sells more than 95 percent of its turbines in India and has annual sales of about $200 million, plans to approach power utilities in Ghana and Nigeria. It has also already exported two 225-kilowatt turbines to farmers in the U.K. and expects to sell nine more.”